NEW WORLD DEPARTMENT STORE(825 HK):OW:1HFY13 THE BEST SET OF RESULTS SO FAR AMONG PEERS
among peers that have reported. Due to lower non-operating net gains in 1HFY13, reported net profit was flat yoy. Recurring net profit grew 12% yoy to RMB312m.
Rebranding bears fruit: NWDS started to rebrand in 2009 when it had only 24 stores by: (1) revamping existing stores into "Living Galleries" and "Fashion Gallery", via adjustments to merchandise mix, remodelling and re-positioning; (2) closing small, inefficient stores; and (3) enlarging the operating areas at its major stores. These efforts have paid off, improving the growth profile of the store portfolio. 83% of the store area scheduled for re-branding was completed by December 2012. 89% of its total floor space is either rebranded or newly opened stores. Rebranded stores delivered higher SSSG than the group's average.
Expect outperformance to continue in 2H: We believe NWDS will continue to outperform in 2H despite macro challenges such as anti-corruption measures because: (1) rental cost reductions in its major Beijing Chongwen stores and (2) it is more immune from anti-corruption measures: only 12% of sales are from prepaid cards and group sales are a small percentage of total sales; these two categories are perceived to be most affected by the anti-corruption campaign in China. On a calendar year basis, we expect its GSP to grow 22% for CY13, and its core net profit to grow by 23% to HKD719m.
We reiterate our Overweight rating on NWDS and target price of HKD6.3. We use a Gordon Growth model to set our target PE multiple of 14.7x based on CY 2013 EPS with a beta of 0.95. Catalyst: better SSSG. Risks: faster-than-expected rising in Advertising & Promotion costs due to more promotion. More details about the company are available in our 11 January 2013 China Department Stores report.
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