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CHINA SHENHUA ENERGY ALERT(1088.HK):FURTHER RESULT SURPRISE TO CONTINUE CONSENSUS UPWARD REVISION

德意志银行股份有限公司2017-07-31
  1H17 positive profit alert demonstrates consensus way behind
Shenhua H announced its preliminary 1H17 profit alert after market close on28 July 2017. The Company expected to deliver 1H17 NPAT of c.RMB26.3bnunder IFRS. The result is a strong beat by reaching 75% FY17 DBe and 79%Bloomberg 2017 full year consensus, respectively. We believe the strong 1H17upside surprise should be very positive to investors.
  Awaiting for details but Shenhua we note is surely a Buy
Recent coal price momentum has been strong and let our full year coal priceforecast (QHD5500Kal, FOB) at RMB610/t enjoy upside potential. Meanwhile,recent power surcharge adjustment might imply that Shenhua will be able toimprove its ASP for power generation business. Thus, even before this 1H17upside surprise, Shenhua is already a company generating stable 10%-12%ROAE and 14%+ FCF yield. We believe the company currently trading at 1x PBis undemanding. Buy-reiterated.

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