CSTONE PHARMACEUTICALS(2616.HK):ON THE RIGHT TRACK TO MANAGE RISKS AND REAP REWARDS
Blueprint marked two key FDA NDA’s milestones for avapritinib and pralsetinib, shaping the outlook for their later NDA in China
CS1001 reported a promising 33.3% CR rate and good safety profile in patients with r/r extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma
Maintain BUY on the delivery of numerous catalysts, and rNPV- based TP unchanged at HKD19.83
Enhancing NDA prospective for CStone’s TKI assets
On 9 Jan, FDA granted a NDA approval for avapritinib for patients with unresectable or metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST), based on the Phase 1 NAVIGATOR trial with an 84% ORR (with 7% CR and 77% PR) and a median duration of response (DOR) not reached. Of note, avapritinib became the first precision therapy for patients with PDGFRA exon 18 mutation GIST, a genomically defined population which previously had very limited treatment options. Meanwhile, on 8 Jan, Blueprint initiated rolling NDA submission to FDA for pralsetinib for 2L RET fusion+ NSCLC, based on ARROW study with a 61% ORR and median DOR not reached (with 73% ORR and 12% CR in treatment- naive patients). As Blueprint’s key collaborator in China, CStone expected to submit NDAs to CDE for these two molecules by end- 2020E, thanks to solid R&D and regulatory achievements in the U.S. and good trial enrolment progress in China.
Promising CS1001’s data in r/r-ENKTL likely to expedite its commercial availability
In Dec 2019, CStone updated results from CS1001-201 trial at 2019 ASH. The preliminary efficacy data showed 43.3% ORR (with 33.3% CR) with median DOR not reached and a benign safety profile. Co. explained ENKTL represents for c.6% of all lymphoma incidence and r/r-ENKTL patients still lack effective treatment options (with targeted monotherapy only produces <10% CR). Co. expected to file CS1001’s NDA to CDE in 2H20E. We think the promising data in the niche indication should differentiate from other approved PD-1/PD-L1, and help CS1001 to pursue a priority review from CDE to expedite its commercial availability.
Maintain BUY with TP unchanged at HKD19.83
We maintain BUY rating on CStone’s leading clinical stage I/O backbone candidates, extensively experienced in-house clinical team, and strong BD capabilities. In addition to its solid R&D catalysts, we think the recent BGNE-AMGEN collaboration might also give investors a new reason to warm up to decent Chinese biotechs in 2020E for potential value unlocked from tie-up with MNCs.