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GOME ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES HOLDING(00493.HK):1Q17 RESULTS IN LINE WITH EXPECTATION

中国国际金融股份有限公司2017-05-26
  1Q17 results in line with expectation
  GOME Electrical Appliances Holding announced its 1Q17 results:
  revenue was Rmb17.3bn, up 14.4% YoY; net profit wasRmb137mn, up 2.7% YoY, or Rmb0.01 per share. Results werelargely in line with our expectation. In 1Q16, the previousnon-listco stores were not consolidated into the listco.
  Offline SSSG was ~-4% in 1Q17 (-9.4% in 2016),mainly because some stores were still under renovation.
  Online B2C sales +42% YoY. The listco recorded a netloss of ~Rmb120mn in e-commerce.
  Consolidated gross margin +0.45ppt to 17.46%,thanks to a differentiated product strategy and higherinvestment income.
  Trends to watch
  Net profit is expected to recover on a low base. 2016profit was down 73% YoY, partly driven by major storestransformations. As major stores are reopened, earnings willresume growth in 2017 and 2018.
  However, e-commerce is still grabbing share fromoffline. Online market share in the home appliance industryexpanded to 21% in 2016 from the 8% in 2013. Large homeappliances are the fastest-growing sector for JD currently.
  Earnings forecast
  We lower our EPS forecast by 4% from Rmb0.03 toRmb0.02 for 2017, and lower our 2018 earnings forecastby 3%.
  Valuation and recommendation
  The stock is trading at 37x 2017e P/E. We maintain our HOLDrating, but lower our target price by 1.08% to HK$0.92,implying 9.8% downside room from the current price. Our targetprice is based on SOTP valuation.
  Risks
  Consumption slows further; store transforming effects lowerthan expected.

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