全球指数

FUTURE LAND(01030.HK):SALES RECOVERS REVISE UP TP

兴业证券股份有限公司2017-03-15
  Company Profile
  The Group is principally engaged in the Development of quality residential properties and mixed-usecomplex projects in the Yangtze River Delta.
  Our Views: The earnings performance of Future Land is broadly in line with our expectations. Thecompany has rich land plot reserve, sufficient for property development in the future 3-4 years. In2016, the company's gross margin grows quickly, with financing cost on constant drop. Contract saleswill maintain steady growth. The company's interest payout accounts for 24.5% of its core net profit,slightly lower than market expectations. If continuing with fast earnings growth and maintains 30%interest payout, the company will gain more attractions from investors. The company's current priceimplies 5.1x 17E PE, .3.8x 18E PE and 3.0x 19E PE. Based on NAV valuation, we revised up TP for thecompany to HKD 2.86, implying a 60% discount to NAV and 7.2x 17E PE/5.4x 18E PE/4.2x 19E PE. Wesee 40% upside potential from the current price and encourage investors to take a closer look on thecompany.
  Contracted sales growth has started picking up.
  According to the February sales number released by the company, the company has recordedcontracted sales of around CNY 5.23 billion, up 154.9% YoY. Selling area reached 390,700 squaremeters, up 64.8% YoY. In the first two months, the company's cumulative sales revenue reached CNY10.12 billion, up 59.7% YoY. The cumulative selling area covers 726,400 square meters, up 7.95% YoY.
  We believe the company will highly likely attain the CNY 85 billion contracted sales goal for 2017, givenits sound project planning.
  The rating upgrading will help bring down financing costs.
  The world-renowned rating agency Moody upgraded outlook for the company to 'positive' from'stable' and maintained credit rating at Ba3 and rating for the bond at B1. The rating upgrading will helpbring down financial costs for the company. In the past few years, with steady business expansion andincreasing issuance of corporate bonds, the company's average financing costs dropped from 9.3% in2014 and 5.7% in 2016; the figure will very likely drop to 5% in the future – a sharp reduction onfinancing expenses.
  The company is actively supplementing new land plots.
  In the first two months of 2017, the company has cumulatively spent CNY 11.2 billion on land plotpurchase, 1.11 times the cumulative sales. The cost of new land reserves averages CNY 5,519 persquare meters. Huainan, Gourong, Taizhou Qidong and Nanjing respectively accounts for 17.4%, 17.3%,15.8%, 10.7% and 8.9% of total new land plot areas. Of new land investments, Hefei, Nanjing, Tianjinand Gourong respectively accounts for 31.5%, 22.7%, 12.8% and 10.8%. At the same time, the companyis actively expanding presence in the satellite towns around the first-tiered cities and the promisingthird-tiered cities.

免责声明

以上内容仅供您参考和学习使用,任何投资建议均不作为您的投资依据;您需自主做出决策,自行承担风险和损失。九方智投提醒您,市场有风险,投资需谨慎。

推荐阅读

暂无数据

公司动态

    暂无数据

盘面综述

    暂无数据

IPO动态

    暂无数据

港股涨幅榜
  • 港股通
  • 红筹股
  • 国企股
  • 科技股
  • 名称/代码
  • 最新价
  • 涨跌幅

暂无数据

扫码关注

九方智投公众号

扫码关注

九方智投公众号