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BELLE INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS(01880.HK):HILLHOUSE AND CDH OFFER PRIVATIZATION PROPOSAL

中国国际金融股份有限公司2017-05-03
  What's new
  A consortium led by Hillhouse and CDH offered to buy BelleInternational in a privatization deal valuing the Company atabout US$6.8bn. The proposal will be effective with theapproval of >75% of disinterested shareholders voting inperson or by proxy at the Court Meeting (excl. the managementwho participate in the deal, who currently own ~85% of Belle)。
  Comments
  Privatization price: The offered price was HK$6.30/sh, a19.54% premium over Belle’s last closing price.
  Post-deal ownership structure: Hillhouse and CDH wouldrespectively hold 56.81% and 12.06% of Belle after completion.
  Belle’s management, including Mr. SHENG Fang and Mr. YU Wu,will own the remaining 31.1%.
  Source of funds: The deal would be financed with (1) debtfacilities of HK$28bn provided by BofA and (2) an aggregate cashinvestment of HK$17.3bn from Hillhouse and CDH.
  Reasons and benefits: The deal could facilitate Belle’sbusiness transformation given the challenging retail marketenvironment. According to Belle’s earnings alert, its net profitcould decline by 15~25% YoY for FY17 (ended Feb. 2017)。
  Valuation and recommendation
  Lower FY17 & FY18 EPS forecasts by 23% & 12% to Rmb0.29 &Rmb0.34. Introduce FY19 projection of Rmb0.37. These figuresare –16.8%, +16.5% and +10.4% YoY. Current price is 16.5xFY17e, 14.3x FY18e, 14.2x FY19e P/E. With the expertise indigitalization from Hillhouse & CDH, Belle could gain rich financialand operational resources, and new management motivated toimprove its business. Maintain HOLD. Lift TP by 28% toHK$6.30 (17x FY18e P/E), 19.54% upside. We believe theproposal will be approved as a good profitmaking opportunity forcurrent shareholders.
  Risks
  Further slowdown of the footwear market.

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