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LEGEND HOLDINGS(03396.HK):PROPERTY SEGMENT SALE BRINGS POTENTIAL NAV UPSIDE

中国国际金融股份有限公司2016-09-19
  What happened
  On September 18, Legend announced it has entered intotwo Framework Agreements with Sunac China to sell itsproperty development arms for a consideration of Rmb13.8bnand EnsenCare for a consideration of Rmb137mn.
  Comments
  Transaction brings potential NAV upside. The transaction,estimates the NAV of Legend’s property segment at Rmb18bn(Rmb11.35bn for Raycom Property Investment + Rmb4.66bn forequity interest of the disposed property – Rmb5.3bn net debt +Rmb7.3bn shareholder loan). Thus, the transaction will bringpotential upside for the NAV calculation:
  We previously valued Legend’s property segment atRmb11.6bn using the DCF method; there will be a gain onthe valuation gap.
  The proceeds are estimated to be Rmb12bn and will nolonger need to be discounted as it is considered as cash.
  We estimate there will be ~12% increase in our estimatedLegend NAV if the transaction is completed.
  Transaction still subject to approval. The deal firstly has tobe green lit at Sunac China’s shareholder meeting in December;then the HKSE has to approve the transaction. We are concernedthat some property projects might be subject to other approvalsby the PRC government. The estimated completion time is ~4months after the shareholder meeting.
  The company hopes the deal will increase its liquidity. Onone hand, it helps the company to realize part of its propertyNAV; on the other, if the transaction is completed, Legend will beable to use the proceeds for any potential strategic investments.
  Risks
  Failure to recognize good investments; weak macro economy.

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