The 2019 annual results of the Company were generally in line withmarket consensus and our expectations. Total revenue of the Companysurged 164.52% yoy to RMB68.68 billion, but net profit attributable toshareholders dropped 59.94% yoy to RMB1.86 billion. The significant drop innet profit was mainly attributable to lower metal prices.
We expect metal prices to be under pressure due to the globalCOVID-19 outbreak. We expect molybdenum and tungsten price to declinemoderately in 2020 due to weak downstream consumption demand. Copperprice is expected to be badly hit by the COVID-19 pandemic around theworld, but cobalt is expected to be less impacted due to robust demand fromelectric vehicles.
In 2020, the Company plans to produce 12,000-15,000 tons of metalequivalent molybdenum concentrate, 7,000-9,000 tons of metalequivalent tungsten concentrate, 24,000-29,000 tons of mined copperfrom Northparke mine, 163,000-200,000 tons of mined copper and14,000-17,000 tons of mined cobalt from Tenke mine. The mining outputtarget of the Company declined moderately compared to that in 2019, mainlydue to changes in the global economy environment.
Revise down TP to HK$2.10, downgrade to "Reduce".